Ballingsmallard: Februari 2014

Rabu, 26 Februari 2014

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Sales Rank: #8118686 in Books
Published on: 2000-01-01
Binding: Sheet music

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Senin, 24 Februari 2014

[D720.Ebook] Get Free Ebook Truth or Truthiness: Distinguishing Fact from Fiction

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Teacher tenure is a problem. Teacher tenure is a solution. Fracking is safe. Fracking causes earthquakes. Our kids are over-tested. Our kids are not tested enough. We read claims like these in the newspaper every day, often with no justification other than 'it feels right'. How can we figure out what is right? Escaping from the clutches of truthiness begins with one simple question: 'what is the evidence?' With his usual verve and flair, Howard Wainer shows how the sceptical mind-set of a data scientist can expose truthiness, nonsense, and outright deception. Using the tools of causal inference he evaluates the evidence, or lack thereof, supporting claims in many fields, with special emphasis in education. This wise book is a must-read for anyone who has ever wanted to challenge the pronouncements of authority figures and a lucid and captivating narrative that entertains and educates at the same time.

Sales Rank: #69654 in eBooks
Published on: 2016-02-29
Released on: 2015-12-01
Format: Kindle eBook

Review
"This book is like the proverbial bag of potato chips. It's impossible to stop reading after just one of its fun and thought-provoking examples of statistical reasoning."
Andrew Gelman, Columbia University

"Howard Wainer persuasively argues that you cannot be an informed citizen unless you understand the new data science. Using examples and anecdotes from education, medicine, and elsewhere, he arms readers with tools they can use to make better decisions and a better world. And he does it with the ease, charm, and brilliance of the originator of truthiness."
Arthur E. Wise, President Emeritus, National Council for the Accreditation of Teacher Education

"[This is] compelling reading on contemporary topics that exemplifies how to think clearly about the busy world around us ... Wainer gets more clever over the years, finding deeper anecdotes, discovering better quotes, and writing with more grace than ever."
Ben Shneiderman, University of Maryland

"Wainer has taken a leap forward with his new book, Truth or Truthiness. He has shown that he can take on complex issues using the basic premise that our new societal norm addresses policy solely through inference while lacking supportive evidence. With his usual interesting and direct style, Wainer looks at this lack of data support in examining societal issues, especially education. This is truly a compelling read and I think should be required reading for those who set educational policy."
Kurt Landgraf, President and CEO, Educational Testing Service, 2000-2013

"Howard Wainer was an expert witness in cases where I defended public school teachers who were accused of changing students' answers on standardized tests. I implored him to explain his theories in terms that would be understandable to lay people. Truth and Truthiness makes clear that he took this to heart."
Keith J. Zimmerman, Kahn, Smith and Collins, P. A., Baltimore

About the Author
Howard Wainer is a Distinguished Research Scientist at the National Board of Medical Examiners. He has published more than four hundred articles and chapters in scholarly journals and books.

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8 of 8 people found the following review helpful.
Exploding ignorance
By David Wineberg
So much of what we know is just wrong. From internet facts to everybody knows that, we make things up and believe them, with nothing backing them but the knowledge that we all agree we knew that. And yet, by shifting slightly, Howard Wainer says we can outsleuth Sherlock Holmes.

Wainer demonstrates it in a remarkable lawsuit where he was called into aid a “professional license” exam taker who was falsely accused of cheating. Wainer showed the evaluation system, which looked terrific at first blush, was actually terribly inaccurate and unjustifiable. Wainer compares it to mammography, a parallel system that shows the same misguidance. In mammography, false positives rule. In breast cancer cases, only five percent of positive mammographies represent actual cancer. He shows this from mammography’s own impressive (at first) numbers. Testing for cheaters – no better. Ruining someone’s career over such lousy methods – unacceptable. Who said statisticians couldn’t be cool?

Wainer shows convincingly that fracking does cause earthquakes, that tenure in education is actually cheaper than hiring annually, that global numbers predict the breaking of sports records, and that the whole field of education is rife with truthiness based on gut feeling (and outright criminally rigging results).

He says there are three reasons why people won’t listen to the facts:
-A lack of understanding of the methods and the power of the Science of Uncertainty
-A conflict between what is true what is wished to be true
-An excessive dimness of mind that prevents connecting the dots of evidence to yield a clear picture of likely outcome.

The purpose – and value - of Truth and Truthiness is in its applicability. Wainer’s approach achieves results without computer power or advanced mathematics. The conclusions are self-evident if we follow the data. Just thinking this way – in the manner of data specialists – means better decisions for all of us. And so he rightly calls the concluding chapter Do Try This At Home.

Just don’t pick an argument with this man.

David Wineberg

4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Statistics made entertaining? Yes, it’s possible. Let’s test it.
By Steve G
I loved this book. It’s not so much about statistics as about testing vs guessing. Author Howard Wainer writes in a conversational manner and with a keen sense of humor. The book was hard to put down. As I was reading the book I noted that a little over two chapters were missing from the advanced reader copy I had received. My first thought was too bad because I loved the book so far. My second thought was that when I write my review can I assume that the missing pages were as good as the pages that were there? I thought this because Wainer goes into a lot of detail about missing data. My third thought was that Wainer had already taught me to think like a data scientist. I strongly recommend this book for anyone who is involved in research.
As a postscript, I received the full book from the publisher and as suspected, the missing pages are as good as the rest of the book.

3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
A book by a real statistician for the rest of us
By Leland Wilkinson
There are plenty of books on statistics for the popular market. Many of them try to make statistics exciting but end up being boring or, worse, full of misinformation. Howard Wainer is in that handful of writers (Daniel Kahneman, Jordan Ellenberg, Andrew Gelman, ...) who know what they are talking about and are able to explain it to the rest of us in ordinary language. This book dares to spend a chapter on Donald Rubin's breakthrough on the intricacies of causal inference, on Hartigan's Inside Out Plots, and on how statisticians deal with missing data. If you want to learn how a statistician thinks (forget formulas), then this is your book.

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Senin, 17 Februari 2014

[O870.Ebook] Ebook Free The QM2 Story (Story series), by Chris Frame, Rachelle Cross

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The story behind the entire career of the largest and most glamorous superliner�Queen Mary 2�was constructed in 2004 to great fanfare—the largest, longest, grandest, and most expensive ocean liner ever built. She overtook the beloved QE2 in the glamour stakes and has become a favorite around the world, her popularity soaring once again since the retirement of QE2 in November 2008. Her interiors and 14 spacious decks put QM2 head and shoulders above the rest and harken back to the golden age of ocean liners. Here,�QM2 and QE2 experts present the full story behind this great liner, from her concept as the next generation of ocean liner to her groundbreaking achievements. With�many previously unpublished�photographs and fascinating little-known�facts, this is a must-have for all those who love ocean travel.

Sales Rank: #154823 in Books
Brand: Brand: The History Press
Published on: 2011-01-04
Original language: English
Number of items: 1
Dimensions: 5.00" h x .50" w x 7.50" l, .57 pounds
Binding: Hardcover
128 pages

Features

Used Book in Good Condition

Review
"A beautiful book about the legendary oceanliner's colorful history."� —luxist.com on QE2

About the Author
Christopher Frame and Rachelle Cross�coauthored The QE2 Story and QM2: A Photographic Journey.� They have a website relating to QE2, QM2, QV, and historic liners at�www.chriscunard.com.

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3 of 3 people found the following review helpful.
A Charming Little Book
By Transatlantique
This is a cute little book that provides a nice synopsis of the first few years of Queen Mary 2's life. There are a nice collection of small photos and descriptions documenting her construction, unfinished interiors, and many maiden port calls unseen in other books. It is a more up close and personal view from the author's and friend's photo collections, including those from her first Captain, the retired Commodore Warwick. At the end, there is a nice timeline of events which sums it all up. It is well designed and thought out, and sure to be a nice little addition to any Cunard enthusiast's library on ocean liners. However, many of the photos deserved a much larger format. Read the product's dimensions before buying this.

2 of 2 people found the following review helpful.
Fantastic
By Shipping Fan
I read the review "Queen Mary 2: the stories, October 24, 2011" which gave this book two stars and just had to write a review to rectify this. Their review was about the Amazon service not the book at all. This is a great little book, and I thoroughly recommend it. I agree with everything that "Transatlantique" said - well worth the money.

0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Wow! What A Ship
By Dave Deno
Great quick overview of the QM2. Fascinating details . . great preparation for our cruise on the QM2 next year.

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Sabtu, 15 Februari 2014

[R906.Ebook] PDF Download Black-and-White Photography in the Digital Age: Creative Camera, Darkroom and Printing Techniques for the Modern Photographer, by Tony Wor

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Far from spelling the end of black-and-white photography, digital techniques have made many creative processes easier - this is the book that helps devotees of black-and-white photography move into the digital age. The digital revolution has made the experience of producing prints quicker and cleaner, but tends to assume that you are always dealing with colour photographs. This book explains how black-and-white photography is not only possible using digital technology but actually allows greater flexibility and creativity than ever before. It covers the basics of scanning, manipulation and printing, and also demonstrates some of the more advanced techniques that can be achieved in the digital darkroom.

Sales Rank: #8250237 in Books
Published on: 2007-05-25
Original language: English
Number of items: 1
Binding: Hardcover
144 pages

About the Author
Tony Worobiec is the author of several photography books including Ghosts in the Wilderness: Abandoned America, a collection of his own fine art black-and-white photographs. He lives in Dorset. Ray Spence is an active member of the Royal Photographic Society and the author of books on photographic technique. He lives in Warwickshire.

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0 of 0 people found the following review helpful.
Five Stars
By Bruce Coryell
Excellent primer on black and white digital photography.

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Sabtu, 08 Februari 2014

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Published on: 1979
Binding: Paperback

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THE FAMOUS FIVE- original words
By Phillip Taylor MBE
THE FAMOUS FIVE

THE BEST FOR A FIRST READ!

Enid’s Famous Five books featuring Julian, Dick, George and Anne and Timmy the dog, were the catalyst which encouraged me to start reading more than 50 years ago. Thank you, Enid. The BBC, many public libraries, local authorities and alleged educational experts have been completely wrong about the worth of the Blyton works. I can remember having quite a lot of difficulty obtaining the original books as so many places would not stock them. The stories are great to read for their simplicity and straightforwardness.

When one did find copies of the book they were quite expensive all those years ago but great to own. I loved the letter on the back cover from Enid in some of the editions, and also the physical appearance of the book which I treasured as a youngster with the way the books were produced then which made them somehow much easier to read.

It’s a delight to read the stories again in middle age although recent editing has diminished some of the memories I have of the original editions and words used then (but I am now getting old).

Never mind… these books remain one of my best friends for life: they began my own reading adventure so do read these special adventures for yourselves.

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Kamis, 06 Februari 2014

[F884.Ebook] Free Ebook International Relations Theory and South Asia: Security, Political Economy, Domestic Politics, Identities, and Images, Volume 2 (Internatio

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Bringing together scholarship from several South Asian countries, this volume discusses conflict resolution and cooperation building in the region. The essays cover three inter-related issues--security; political economy-domestic politics; and the construction of identities and normative frameworks. They employ broader social-science theorizing, particularly in relation to political economy, to go beyond conceptualizations based on international relations theory. International Relations Theory and South Asia, Volume 2 takes a fresh look at the inter-relationships between issues and their analyses and eschews stand-alone topics such as Kashmir, nuclear policies, or regional cooperation. Combining theory with fieldwork, the book provides diverse perspectives and arguments for a more nuanced picture of international relations in South Asia.

Sales Rank: #4037508 in Books
Published on: 2011-03-11
Original language: English
Number of items: 1
Dimensions: 5.70" h x 1.40" w x 8.60" l, 1.35 pounds
Binding: Hardcover
454 pages

About the Author

E. Sridharan is Academic Director at the University of Pennsylvania Institute for the Advanced Study of India in New Delhi.

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Selasa, 04 Februari 2014

[V248.Ebook] Download Ebook Buongiorno signorina (Spanish Edition), by Pilar Parralejo

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Jocelyn Bayron jamas hab�a imaginado que pasar�a sus d�as de vacaciones siendo esclava de un empresario italiano… Lo �nico que ella pretend�a era trabajar un mes como secretaria, s�lo quer�a adquirir conocimientos para el personaje femenino del libro que hab�a empezado a escribir. Pero, al salir del taxi golpe� a alguien que virti� su caf� sobre alguien m�s, y ah� fue cuando dio inicio su particular odisea. O tal vez fue cuando su amiga denunci� su secuestro despu�s de ser "raptada" a la salida de un restaurante.

Sales Rank: #5219021 in Books
Published on: 2015-06-11
Original language: Spanish
Dimensions: 7.48" h x .53" w x 5.12" l,
Binding: Paperback
210 pages

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1 of 1 people found the following review helpful.
cautivante
By Grisselle
Carlos y Jo. Carlos es un joven empresario italiano, irritable, sexy, arrogante q se tropezo con Jo en la calle derram�ndole caf� en el costoso traje; y este fue el comienzo de una relaci�n laboral y personal entre ambos pq ella se convertir�a en su asistente personal de �l para pagarle los accidentes q ocurrieron. Y ella solo quer�a trabajar esas vacaciones como secretaria para su personaje de la novela q esta escribiendo. Pero ella se convertira en mas q su asistente y descubrieran el amor entre ambos.

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Facil de leer y muy linda
By Isabeu
Este libro se puede leer rapidamente. Linda, entretenida y algunas divertdidas situaciones. Cualqualquier drama se resuelve sin dejar cabos sueltos y aunque no necesita segundas partes, seria preciosa una historia sobre Raoul.

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Buongiorno signorina de pilar parralejo
By odalis
Como todo lo que leo de pilar parralejo me fascin� la historia de carlo y jo y la recomiendo a todos los lectores y espero con ansias otros libros de pilar parralejo

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